A quick post.
People all over are buzzing as to how and why scandal-ridden Sen. Manny Villar has easily eaten up a big chunk of Sen. Noynoy Aquino’s lead on the latest surveys with the Pulse Asia survey putting the contest between the two leading contenders for the highest post in the land on a tight race. Pulse Asia puts Villar and Aquino on a technically statistically tied position despite the former being hounded by the C-5 road controversy resulting to an ethics complaint in the Senate.
But then the questions are; what happened to Noynoy Aquino’s big lead late last year? What happened to “Cory Magic�
I want to share some of the reasons I see why Noynoy’s ratings declined, though as Sen. Gordon puts it, surveys are not indicative of the actual results come Election Day on May 2010. They only serve as part of the mind game and conditioning of the voter’s consciousness, and may still greatly help though candidates either to win more votes by posing a temporary image of an upcoming victory or just telling of reassessment of a failing strategy.
Here it goes:
1. Noynoy Aquino cannot simply ride on the memories of his revered parents, more so the love of the Filipino people towards them. The people revering and respecting them is one way, and people voting for him is another story. His parents earned the people’s confidence and he cannot simply inherit it; he still has to earn it.
2. He is not presenting a clear platform of governance to the people on his advertisements. Though a campaign against corruption is badly needed, this is a very vague area and concept that people cannot simply cling on to and cannot simply put their trust on. What are you exactly going to do, they ask.
3. People are obviously looking for accomplishments. Though Manny Villar is advertising all his “so-called accomplishmentsâ€, with certifications coming from his very own business power house, Noynoy Aquino has not so far presented any of the same list. The issue of competence in leadership is a truth that presidentiables cannot simply escape by saying that “I will not lie or steal or I am an upright man.â€
4. Noynoy is not pouring in the money. I am not saying that Noynoy should also spend big money on advertisements (especially if he has very limited finances) the way Villar is exhausting all means on getting in the votes on his side of the fence.   But constant bombardment of advertisement on TV, newspaper, radio and online ads certainly has shifted the tide on the side of the billionaire presidentiable.
5. Noynoy Aquino has been presenting very idealistic and vague directions. I am not saying that being idealistic is bad, but what happens is that these ideas and directions cannot be simply understood by ordinary people. They are floating up in the air, incomprehensible and cannot be easily appreciated nor accepted especially by the ppor. Villar on the other hand has done a very methodical way of presenting his ideas that the masses can easily grasp.
6. Villar unlike Aquino is doing a very traditional way of campaigning: a dole-out type of campaign that can easily get the votes of people. He is giving house and lots here and there, promising to give people jobs, scholarships, capital for business ventures, prizes on noontime TV shows, and all that you can imagine. It is like a raffle promo promising that everyone comes home as winners!
Not to judge the masses, but tricks like these can easily sway them to vote for the man who shows them (or gives them) the easy way out of poverty than someone who is telling them to fight with me, let us all change the system by starting on ourselves and eradicate corruption. Â I am not saying that is wrong, but we all know very well in the past that people will even choose someone who is corrupt so long as that politician is giving them something than someone who promises to clean up the mess.
7. Noynoy Aquino is not using all the big shinning stars that support him like Sharon Cuneta, Vilma Santos and many more. He can easily divide these stars into groups for separate kinds of ad and media campaigns to target the different age brackets of voters; like the veterans grouped together or individually showing an ad like that of Dolphy; the younger stars like Marian Rivera, Anne Curtis and the whole pack of them making an ad for the young voters. Well, maybe Butch Abad has not even thought of that yet. Let us face it, he cannot be simply the only face on his advertisements, or that of Baby James.
8. Noynoy only declared his intention to run for the presidency a couple of months ago while Villar has been eyeing that post since becoming a lawmaker.
9. Noynoy Aquino is running a sloppy campaign, not having the power or the maybe the skills to unite all the forces that rallied behind EDSA or what is now known as the “Cory Magicâ€. It may bring in the magic, but magic does not easily make itself visible to spectators without the skills to do the trick right. Thus, it could also easily be pointed out as a loophole on his campaign.
10. The campaign of Noynoy Aquino is obviously trying to do a catch up with Villar. The latest of which is his ad for which he tries to rap, a clear attempt to tear down the ad of Villar that became a hit to all. He is not even using the issue of the C-5 controversy to his advantage as a clear example of his fight against corruption an abuse of power in government.
I am not a Noynoy Aquino supporter. What I am only saying is that Noynoy Aquino cannot be so easily over confident or just simply ride on what others has already achieved an put them as if his own. The race is still a long way to go and the end of the road where the finish line awaits the winner is still hazy. He should reassess his strategies and get back to his senses. Villar will always use his money and his arrogance on his presidential campaign and not face allegations in the Senate but bring them to the public arena to gain from it. And so, Aquino’s camp cannot simply say that Villar has lots of money that is why he is catching up so fast…it is still all about the right strategies and the proper executions.
Any thoughts? What do you think are the reasons why Villar has already caught up with Noynoy Aquino, at least on the surveys? What do you think should Noynoy do on his campaign?
Image from BelezVideoIzle
So Noynoy still leads Villar by how much percentage points? Excuse me while I confer with sister Kris Aquino with what needs to be done. Maybe a new haircut? Ahehehehe. This is shaping up to be a good cliffhanger. I’m intrigued!
Noynoy on the the Pulse Asia Survey is at 37% while Villar at 35%..and with the margin of error of plus 2 minus 2, they are statistically tied.
Haircut? Nah, I observed that new strands of hair were growing on Noynoy’s head compared last year with his latest ad.
You better have a heart-to-heart talk with Krissy, maybe a guy from Mindoro can be a good campaign manager for his brother? LOL!
It’s icky going down that road, bro. I’m not comfortable with the idea of my blog going partisan. Ahehehe
Partisan for one’s blog, you can do that for the sake of the country…and for the sake of Krissy? whahahha!
And you soon end up as the official spokesperson of the Palace under the second Aquino. LOL!
elmot´s last blog ..“Dis Is It†versus Showtime, Who Will Dominate the Ratings?
For the love of Krissy. I vaguely recall getting into some deep shit because of my admiration for her. Ahehehe. Nah, not that my admiration has ebbed, but it will be foolish for me to be in a position where I’d surely get baited. Alam mo naman mga high blood na tao. There are no half-measures for us. Don’t want to invite unnecessary grief, that’s all. Natuto na ako noh.
See, your admiration for Krissy has actually taught you some profound lesson in life: don’t let your admiration get the best out of you, LOL!
But they need your help, wahhahah! Maybe a problogger like you can start to mount a huge online campaign for Noynoy…wahahha!
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You’re painting me in the corner, bro. Gibo looks decent and articulate although his biggest stumbling block is he’s identified with PGMA.
If we as a nation get carried by Villar’s bluster and deep pockets, very well then, we will get a president we truly deserve.
We have no one else to blame for our choices if we foul up.
jan geronimo´s last blog ..When a Question Is the Answer
I agree with that Bro, we deserve the officials we all have. Unfortunately, electing a stupid and corrupt president punishes us all impersonally: whether we voted for him/her or not, young and old, male and female, registered voter or not.
That is the sad part of it.
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(tweaked by Maria Elizabeth Embry)
Hacienda Luisita, 42 years Blowin’ in the Wind (1968-2010)
In Memoriam Massacre Victims Mendiola & Hacienda Luisita Massacres
How many more Hacienda Luisita farmers must die
Before we can call ‘em owners of their land?
Yes, ‘n’ how many Laws they must passed
Before you can call it an Agrarian Reform Law?
Yes, ‘n’ how many more farmers the guards must slay
Before you can say it is enough?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer, indeed is blowin’ in the wind.
How many times must Hacienda Luisita farmers fight
Before they can see the end of their plight?
Yes, ‘n’ how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear the farmer cry?
Yes, ‘n’ how many massacres will it take till Noynoy wakes up
That too many Hacienda Luisita sakadas have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer, indeed is blowin’ in the wind.
How many years can the Hacienda Luisita farmer’s plea exists
Before it’s heard by y’all?
Yes, ‘n’ how many years can Hacienda Luisita farmers complain
Before they’re allowed to be right?
Yes, ‘n’ how many times can some people turn their heads,
Pretending they just do not see?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer, indeed is blowin’ in the wind.
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The timing is great. Tomorrow is the official start of the Presidential campaign, Villar is just about to pull out the other half of his arsenal.
Noynoy and the LP on the other hand is still struggling to regroup and coordinate a solid and well-oiled (not just financially) campaign machinery.
The 2010 elections is definitely going to be an exciting one!
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A very exciting race indeed bro! And since today is the official start of the campaign, I am also excited to see how deep really is the pocket of Manny Villar. An avalanche of money is going to happen…and the winners? Media outfits!
elmot´s last blog ..“Dis Is It†versus Showtime, Who Will Dominate the Ratings?
It only shows that majority of voters are poor and under educated. The promise of richness is very appealing to them. Noynoy is leading in A, B & C class but lagging in D and E. Villar’s campaign ads are targeting D and E, the vulnerable sector of our society which dominates in numbers.
Unlike 30 years or so ago, voters then were electing intelligently that’s why salonga, tanada, soc and ninoy – the true nationalists win the election. Nowadays, Jinggoy, Bong and Lito Lapid tops the senate survey. Even bongbong, son of the dictator is winning too. Figure that out.
Unfortunately, that is the sad fact that we need to reckon with. People especially the poor have gone so tired of waiting for progress that when presented with an easy way out, get-rich scheme, they patronize it to the detriment of the long term growth of the nation.
WTF?! Bong-bong, Bong and Lito are topping the surveys?! What will happen to this country?
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I find Villar annoying. Naiinis ako sa ngiti nya. LOL. I agree with Jamby’s opinion that Villar can’t articulate as good as her or Gordon. Laging parang cue card answers sya or memorized. This guy’s a bonafide “Trapo” and I really hope he doesn’t win.
I think kelangan mong magdasal ng mas matindi at umaarangkada na ng husto ang makinarya ni Villar at nagsimula na ang official campaign period.
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Villar is gaining more converts everyday. Even with the C-5 controversy, there is still no finality to the allegations. politics, politics! bad publicity is still publicity. noynoy also has his luisita, though that is clouded now. he needs more star power, not just krissy power.
I think he needs to make his message and platform be more appealing and comprehensible most especially to the D and E brackets that compose a big chunk of the voting population.
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I have a vision that Noynoy Aquino will be the next President of the Philippines. The same vision I had with his mom former President Cory Aquino. I had a vision of seven coup in the clouds at Santo Domingo Church. I had also a vision of Laban sign in the clouds at Cordillera Street in Quezon City. I had also a vision of Jesus Christ at Jollibee Restaurant. I hope and pray that my new vision wiii be pushed through,Amen.
very exiting indeed just like paquiao fights, Noynoy Aquino’s name vs manny villiar’s riches.. very exiting indeed o_O.
And the fight is not only getting more exciting but also dirtier ehehhe! Labasan na ng baho eheheh!
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BULLSHIT VILLAR
You hit the red mark perfectly Mitch! But it seems that Villar is doing pretty well in the surveys and we may have to really also think of the sad possibility that he will become our next president.
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